AAOI
AAOI
$68.44 · +0.00% vs $68.44 close · scored 18:00 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+23.1 composite
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 7% today
18,674 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.03% · n=1,109
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.2 pts
10,578 calls · 56.6%8,096 puts
bias +13.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.8 pts
50,284 call OI · 69.5%22,070 put OI
bias +39.0 × 0.38
Equals
+23.1
36% of the score comes from today’s volume, 64% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AAOI today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 67 (93th pct) · quality 81 · 18,674 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
passThis kind of read has paidmildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → +1.03% avg, n=1,109
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on AAOI
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $68.44 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 6,226). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on AAOI
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$68.44 → $68.44
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
AAOI
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+23.1evidence 67
has paid +1.03% · n=1,109
Why it’s +23
+8.2 volume · 57% calls+14.8 OI · 69% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 67 (93th pct) · quality 81 · 18,674 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on AAOI
What traded today · 62%
+8.2 pts
10,578 calls · 8,096 puts · bias +13.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.8 pts
50,284 call OI · 22,070 put OI · bias +39.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$68.44 → $68.44
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AAOI
Not enough tape history on AAOI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.