ACGL ACGL
$96.44 · scored 09:38 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 38/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 38/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.0 composite
Evidence
38 / 100 · top 80% today
15 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.05% · n=7,690
What traded today · weight 62%
+20.7 pts
10 calls · 66.7% 5 puts
bias +33.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.7 pts
711 call OI · 45.1% 865 put OI
bias −9.8 × 0.38
Equals
+17.0
85% of the score comes from today’s volume, 15% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ACGL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 38 (20th pct) · quality 43 · 15 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.05% avg, n=7,690
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on ACGL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $96.44 highlighted. The $95 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 893). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ACGL Proof We haven’t checked a call on ACGL yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
ACGL
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.05% · n=7,690
Why it’s +17
+20.7 volume · 67% calls−3.7 OI · 45% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 38 (20th pct) · quality 43 · 15 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.05% avg, n=7,690
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on ACGL
What traded today · 62%
+20.7 pts
10 calls · 5 puts · bias +33.3
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.7 pts
711 call OI · 865 put OI · bias −9.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $95 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ACGL
Not enough tape history on ACGL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our ACGL record what it is? What’s the $95 wall?