AIV
AIV
$1.63 · +0.00% vs $1.63 close · scored 02:16 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 27/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 27/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−50.5 composite
Evidence
27 / 100 · top 99% today
10 contracts · quality 31 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.05% · n=5,999
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0%10 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+11.5 pts
194 call OI · 65.1%104 put OI
bias +30.2 × 0.38
Equals
−50.5
84% of the score comes from today’s volume, 16% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AIV today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 27 (1th pct) · quality 31 · 10 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −1.05% avg, n=5,999
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on AIV
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $1.63 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 143).
26 Oct · 4h
$1.63 → $1.63
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
AIV
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−50.5evidence 27
has paid −1.05% · n=5,999
Why it’s −51
−62.0 volume · 0% calls+11.5 OI · 65% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 27 (1th pct) · quality 31 · 10 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on AIV
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 10 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+11.5 pts
194 call OI · 104 put OI · bias +30.2
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
26 Oct · 4h
$1.63 → $1.63
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AIV
Not enough tape history on AIV for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.