ALK ALK
$38.55 · scored 16:00 · stale
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+47.7 composite
Evidence
51 / 100 · top 67% today
15 contracts · quality 56 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.79% · n=194,720
What traded today · weight 62%
+37.2 pts
12 calls · 80.0% 3 puts
bias +60.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.5 pts
20,249 call OI · 63.8% 11,473 put OI
bias +27.7 × 0.38
Equals
+47.7
78% of the score comes from today’s volume, 22% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ALK today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 51 (33th pct) · quality 56 · 15 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.79% avg, n=194,720
note Too few of our calls checked 2 closed calls on ALK
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $38.55. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 6,114). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
1 Oct · 4h
$38.55 → $38.55
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$38.70 → $38.70
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 2 of these 2 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
ALK
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+47.7 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.79% · n=194,720
Why it’s +48
+37.2 volume · 80% calls+10.5 OI · 64% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 51 (33th pct) · quality 56 · 15 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.79% avg, n=194,720
note Too few of our calls checked 2 closed calls on ALK
What traded today · 62%
+37.2 pts
12 calls · 3 puts · bias +60.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.5 pts
20,249 call OI · 11,473 put OI · bias +27.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
0% hit rate · 2 closed
1 Oct · 4h
$38.55 → $38.55
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$38.70 → $38.70
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ALK
Not enough tape history on ALK for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our ALK record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?