ALV
ALV
$111.03 · scored 06:14 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 51/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 51/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+57.6 composite
Evidence
51 / 100 · top 54% today
177 contracts · quality 65 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.57% · n=223,015
What traded today · weight 62%
+22.8 pts
121 calls · 68.4%56 puts
bias +36.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+34.9 pts
373 call OI · 95.9%16 put OI
bias +91.8 × 0.38
Equals
+57.6
39% of the score comes from today’s volume, 61% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ALV today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 51 (46th pct) · quality 65 · 177 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.57% avg, n=223,015
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on ALV
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $111.03 highlighted. The $155 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 351). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on ALV yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
ALV
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+57.6evidence 51
hasn’t paid −0.57% · n=223,015
Why it’s +58
+22.8 volume · 68% calls+34.9 OI · 96% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 51 (46th pct) · quality 65 · 177 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.57% avg, n=223,015
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on ALV
What traded today · 62%
+22.8 pts
121 calls · 56 puts · bias +36.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+34.9 pts
373 call OI · 16 put OI · bias +91.8
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ALV
Not enough tape history on ALV for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.