APAM APAM
$31.74 · scored 08:40 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 27/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 27/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−50.0 composite
Evidence
27 / 100 · top 99% today
4 contracts · quality 23 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0% 4 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.0 pts
135 call OI · 65.9% 70 put OI
bias +31.7 × 0.38
Equals
−50.0
84% of the score comes from today’s volume, 16% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring APAM today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 27 (1th pct) · quality 23 · 4 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on APAM
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $31.74 highlighted. The $35 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 111). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on APAM Proof We haven’t checked a call on APAM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
APAM
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−50.0 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −50
−62.0 volume · 0% calls+12.0 OI · 66% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 27 (1th pct) · quality 23 · 4 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on APAM
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 4 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.0 pts
135 call OI · 70 put OI · bias +31.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about APAM
Not enough tape history on APAM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our APAM record what it is? What’s the $35 wall?