APLE
APLE
$18.15 · +0.00% vs $18.15 close · scored 03:17 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+59.5 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 52% today
94 contracts · quality 49 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
What traded today · weight 62%
+25.1 pts
66 calls · 70.2%28 puts
bias +40.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+34.4 pts
5,667 call OI · 95.3%278 put OI
bias +90.6 × 0.38
Equals
+59.5
42% of the score comes from today’s volume, 58% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring APLE today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 49 (48th pct) · quality 49 · 94 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on APLE
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $18.15 highlighted. The $17.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,720).
05Our record on APLE
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$18.15 → $18.15
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
APLE
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+59.5evidence 49
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
Why it’s +60
+25.1 volume · 70% calls+34.4 OI · 95% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 49 (48th pct) · quality 49 · 94 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on APLE
What traded today · 62%
+25.1 pts
66 calls · 28 puts · bias +40.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+34.4 pts
5,667 call OI · 278 put OI · bias +90.6
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$18.15 → $18.15
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $17.5 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about APLE
Not enough tape history on APLE for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.