AR AR
$37.54 · scored 07:06 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+22.1 composite
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 28% today
984 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=8,670
What traded today · weight 62%
+7.7 pts
553 calls · 56.2% 431 puts
bias +12.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.4 pts
8,132 call OI · 69.0% 3,655 put OI
bias +38.0 × 0.38
Equals
+22.1
35% of the score comes from today’s volume, 65% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (72th pct) · quality 77 · 984 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=8,670
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $37.54 highlighted. The $36 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,983). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on AR yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
AR
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+22.1 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=8,670
Why it’s +22
+7.7 volume · 56% calls+14.4 OI · 69% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (72th pct) · quality 77 · 984 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=8,670
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AR
What traded today · 62%
+7.7 pts
553 calls · 431 puts · bias +12.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.4 pts
8,132 call OI · 3,655 put OI · bias +38.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $36 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AR
Not enough tape history on AR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our AR record what it is? What’s the $36 wall?