ARI ARI
$6.31 · scored 07:59 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+7.9 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 50% today
547 contracts · quality 50 · stability 0.00
neutral · +0.40% · n=10,709
What traded today · weight 62%
+2.2 pts
283 calls · 51.7% 264 puts
bias +3.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.7 pts
153 call OI · 57.5% 113 put OI
bias +15.0 × 0.38
Equals
+7.9
27% of the score comes from today’s volume, 73% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ARI today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 49 (50th pct) · quality 50 · 547 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.40% avg, n=10,709
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on ARI
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $6.31 highlighted. The $12.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 250). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on ARI yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
ARI
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+7.9 evidence
neutral · +0.40% · n=10,709
Why it’s +8
+2.2 volume · 52% calls+5.7 OI · 58% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 49 (50th pct) · quality 50 · 547 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.40% avg, n=10,709
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on ARI
What traded today · 62%
+2.2 pts
283 calls · 264 puts · bias +3.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.7 pts
153 call OI · 113 put OI · bias +15.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ARI
Not enough tape history on ARI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our ARI record what it is? What’s the $12.5 wall?