ARLP
ARLP
$24.98 · scored 15:24 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+65.6 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 73% today
3 contracts · quality 26 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
What traded today · weight 62%
+62.0 pts
3 calls · 100.0%0 puts
bias +100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+3.6 pts
716 call OI · 54.7%592 put OI
bias +9.5 × 0.38
Equals
+65.6
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ARLP today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 26 · 3 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on ARLP
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $24.98 highlighted. The $25 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 941). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on ARLP
Proof We haven’t checked a call on ARLP yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ARLP
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+65.6evidence 42
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
Why it’s +66
+62.0 volume · 100% calls+3.6 OI · 55% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 26 · 3 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on ARLP
What traded today · 62%
+62.0 pts
3 calls · 0 puts · bias +100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+3.6 pts
716 call OI · 592 put OI · bias +9.5
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ARLP
Not enough tape history on ARLP for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.