AU
AU
$91.49 · +0.00% vs $91.49 close · scored 03:17 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 63/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+25.9 composite
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 13% today
7,163 contracts · quality 79 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.92% · n=6,043
What traded today · weight 62%
+37.4 pts
5,743 calls · 80.2%1,420 puts
bias +60.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−11.6 pts
16,632 call OI · 34.8%31,180 put OI
bias −30.4 × 0.38
Equals
+25.9
76% of the score comes from today’s volume, 24% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AU today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 63 (87th pct) · quality 79 · 7,163 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.92% avg, n=6,043
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on AU
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $91.49 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 9,206).
22 Oct · 4h
$91.49 → $91.49
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
AU
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+25.9evidence 63
hasn’t paid −1.92% · n=6,043
Why it’s +26
+37.4 volume · 80% calls−11.6 OI · 35% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 63 (87th pct) · quality 79 · 7,163 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.92% avg, n=6,043
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on AU
What traded today · 62%
+37.4 pts
5,743 calls · 1,420 puts · bias +60.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−11.6 pts
16,632 call OI · 31,180 put OI · bias −30.4
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$91.49 → $91.49
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AU
Not enough tape history on AU for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.