AX AX
$86.59 · scored 08:02 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+30.7 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 50% today
440 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+29.3 pts
324 calls · 73.6% 116 puts
bias +47.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.4 pts
145 call OI · 51.8% 135 put OI
bias +3.6 × 0.38
Equals
+30.7
96% of the score comes from today’s volume, 4% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AX today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 49 (50th pct) · quality 73 · 440 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AX
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $86.59 highlighted. The $50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 100). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on AX yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
AX
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+30.7 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +31
+29.3 volume · 74% calls+1.4 OI · 52% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 49 (50th pct) · quality 73 · 440 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AX
What traded today · 62%
+29.3 pts
324 calls · 116 puts · bias +47.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.4 pts
145 call OI · 135 put OI · bias +3.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AX
Not enough tape history on AX for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our AX record what it is? What’s the $50 wall?