AXTA AXTA
$33.18 · scored 08:02 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−69.5 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 52% today
315 contracts · quality 66 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−37.2 pts
63 calls · 20.0% 252 puts
bias −60.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−32.3 pts
20 call OI · 7.5% 248 put OI
bias −85.1 × 0.38
Equals
−69.5
54% of the score comes from today’s volume, 46% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AXTA today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 48 (48th pct) · quality 66 · 315 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AXTA
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $33.18 highlighted. The $25 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 209). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on AXTA Proof We haven’t checked a call on AXTA yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
AXTA
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−69.5 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −70
−37.2 volume · 20% calls−32.3 OI · 7% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 48 (48th pct) · quality 66 · 315 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AXTA
What traded today · 62%
−37.2 pts
63 calls · 252 puts · bias −60.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−32.3 pts
20 call OI · 248 put OI · bias −85.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AXTA
Not enough tape history on AXTA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our AXTA record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?