BDC BDC
$104.03 · scored 08:02 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 41/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 41/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+13.7 composite
Evidence
41 / 100 · top 74% today
245 contracts · quality 70 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.98% · n=6,953
What traded today · weight 62%
+11.9 pts
146 calls · 59.6% 99 puts
bias +19.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.8 pts
22 call OI · 52.4% 20 put OI
bias +4.8 × 0.38
Equals
+13.7
87% of the score comes from today’s volume, 13% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring BDC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 41 (26th pct) · quality 70 · 245 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.98% avg, n=6,953
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on BDC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $104.03 highlighted. The $90 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 13). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on BDC yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
BDC
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+13.7 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.98% · n=6,953
Why it’s +14
+11.9 volume · 60% calls+1.8 OI · 52% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 41 (26th pct) · quality 70 · 245 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.98% avg, n=6,953
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on BDC
What traded today · 62%
+11.9 pts
146 calls · 99 puts · bias +19.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.8 pts
22 call OI · 20 put OI · bias +4.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $90 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BDC
Not enough tape history on BDC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our BDC record what it is? What’s the $90 wall?