BFAM BFAM
$68.41 · scored 07:59 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 33/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 33/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−8.2 composite
Evidence
33 / 100 · top 91% today
41 contracts · quality 47 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.28% · n=3,404
What traded today · weight 62%
−13.6 pts
16 calls · 39.0% 25 puts
bias −22.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.4 pts
4 call OI · 57.1% 3 put OI
bias +14.3 × 0.38
Equals
−8.2
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring BFAM today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 33 (9th pct) · quality 47 · 41 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.28% avg, n=3,404
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on BFAM
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $68.41 highlighted. The $65 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on BFAM Proof We haven’t checked a call on BFAM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
BFAM
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−8.2 evidence
neutral · +1.28% · n=3,404
Why it’s −8
−13.6 volume · 39% calls+5.4 OI · 57% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 33 (9th pct) · quality 47 · 41 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.28% avg, n=3,404
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on BFAM
What traded today · 62%
−13.6 pts
16 calls · 25 puts · bias −22.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.4 pts
4 call OI · 3 put OI · bias +14.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $65 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BFAM
Not enough tape history on BFAM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our BFAM record what it is? What’s the $65 wall?