BFS
BFS
$29.40 · +0.00% vs $29.40 close · scored 20:39 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 34/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 34/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+6.6 composite
Evidence
34 / 100 · top 91% today
17 contracts · quality 37 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.57% · n=1,986
What traded today · weight 62%
−18.2 pts
6 calls · 35.3%11 puts
bias −29.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+24.8 pts
62 call OI · 82.7%13 put OI
bias +65.3 × 0.38
Equals
+6.6
42% of the score comes from today’s volume, 58% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring BFS today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 34 (9th pct) · quality 37 · 17 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.57% avg, n=1,986
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on BFS
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $29.40 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 42).
22 Oct · 4h
$29.40 → $29.40
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
BFS
Neutral, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+6.6evidence 34
neutral · −0.57% · n=1,986
Why it’s +7
−18.2 volume · 35% calls+24.8 OI · 83% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 34 (9th pct) · quality 37 · 17 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.57% avg, n=1,986
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on BFS
What traded today · 62%
−18.2 pts
6 calls · 11 puts · bias −29.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+24.8 pts
62 call OI · 13 put OI · bias +65.3
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$29.40 → $29.40
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about BFS
Not enough tape history on BFS for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.