BSM BSM
$15.03 · scored 09:24 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−10.4 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 71% today
444 contracts · quality 44 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.43% · n=94
What traded today · weight 62%
+24.0 pts
308 calls · 69.4% 136 puts
bias +38.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−34.4 pts
1 call OI · 4.8% 20 put OI
bias −90.5 × 0.38
Equals
−10.4
41% of the score comes from today’s volume, 59% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring BSM today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (29th pct) · quality 44 · 444 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bearish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.43% avg, n=94
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on BSM
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $15.03 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 20).
We haven’t checked a call on BSM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
BSM
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−10.4 evidence
has paid −0.43% · n=94
Why it’s −10
+24.0 volume · 69% calls−34.4 OI · 5% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (29th pct) · quality 44 · 444 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on BSM
What traded today · 62%
+24.0 pts
308 calls · 136 puts · bias +38.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−34.4 pts
1 call OI · 20 put OI · bias −90.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BSM
Not enough tape history on BSM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our BSM record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?