CARG CARG
$31.19 · +0.00% vs $31.19 close · scored 02:47 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−36.8 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 73% today
6 contracts · quality 54 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.92% · n=1,445
What traded today · weight 62%
+0.0 pts
3 calls · 50.0% 3 puts
bias +0.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−36.8 pts
251 call OI · 1.6% 15,519 put OI
bias −96.8 × 0.38
Equals
−36.8
0% of the score comes from today’s volume, 100% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CARG today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 54 · 6 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → −1.92% avg, n=1,445
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on CARG
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $31.19 highlighted. The $27 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,955).
05 Our record on CARG Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$31.19 → $31.19
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
CARG
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−36.8 evidence 42
has paid −1.92% · n=1,445
Why it’s −37
+0.0 volume · 50% calls−36.8 OI · 2% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 54 · 6 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on CARG
What traded today · 62%
+0.0 pts
3 calls · 3 puts · bias +0.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−36.8 pts
251 call OI · 15,519 put OI · bias −96.8
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$31.19 → $31.19
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $27 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CARG
Not enough tape history on CARG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our CARG record what it is? What’s the $27 wall?