CDE
CDE
$15.23 · scored 01:46 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−3.7 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 33% today
2,582 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
neutral · −2.36% · n=9,769
What traded today · weight 62%
−3.2 pts
1,224 calls · 47.4%1,358 puts
bias −5.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−0.5 pts
14,599 call OI · 49.4%14,950 put OI
bias −1.2 × 0.38
Equals
−3.7
88% of the score comes from today’s volume, 12% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CDE today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 78 · 2,582 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.36% avg, n=9,769
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on CDE
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $15.23 highlighted. The $16.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,416). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
21 Oct · 4h
$15.23 → $15.23
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
CDE
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−3.7evidence 56
neutral · −2.36% · n=9,769
Why it’s −4
−3.2 volume · 47% calls−0.5 OI · 49% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 78 · 2,582 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.36% avg, n=9,769
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on CDE
What traded today · 62%
−3.2 pts
1,224 calls · 1,358 puts · bias −5.2
What’s on the books · 38%
−0.5 pts
14,599 call OI · 14,950 put OI · bias −1.2
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$15.23 → $15.23
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $16.5 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about CDE
Not enough tape history on CDE for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.