CFR
CFR
$152.36 · +0.00% vs $152.36 close · scored 00:22 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+23.5 composite
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 53% today
261 contracts · quality 69 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=35,053
What traded today · weight 62%
+10.7 pts
153 calls · 58.6%108 puts
bias +17.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.8 pts
1,120 call OI · 66.8%556 put OI
bias +33.7 × 0.38
Equals
+23.5
46% of the score comes from today’s volume, 54% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CFR today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 54 (47th pct) · quality 69 · 261 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidmildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=35,053
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on CFR
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $152.36 highlighted. The $185 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 459). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on CFR yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
CFR
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+23.5evidence 54
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=35,053
Why it’s +23
+10.7 volume · 59% calls+12.8 OI · 67% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 54 (47th pct) · quality 69 · 261 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=35,053
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on CFR
What traded today · 62%
+10.7 pts
153 calls · 108 puts · bias +17.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.8 pts
1,120 call OI · 556 put OI · bias +33.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $185 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about CFR
Not enough tape history on CFR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.