CGEM
CGEM
$14.89 · +0.00% vs $14.89 close · scored 03:17 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−92.2 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 32% today
404 contracts · quality 50 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.79% · n=10,544
What traded today · weight 62%
−60.8 pts
4 calls · 1.0%400 puts
bias −98.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−31.4 pts
167 call OI · 8.7%1,753 put OI
bias −82.6 × 0.38
Equals
−92.2
66% of the score comes from today’s volume, 34% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CGEM today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 56 (68th pct) · quality 50 · 404 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.79% avg, n=10,544
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on CGEM
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $14.89 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,057).
05Our record on CGEM
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$14.89 → $14.89
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
CGEM
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−92.2evidence 56
has paid −0.79% · n=10,544
Why it’s −92
−60.8 volume · 1% calls−31.4 OI · 9% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 56 (68th pct) · quality 50 · 404 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on CGEM
What traded today · 62%
−60.8 pts
4 calls · 400 puts · bias −98.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−31.4 pts
167 call OI · 1,753 put OI · bias −82.6
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$14.89 → $14.89
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about CGEM
Not enough tape history on CGEM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.