COLB COLB
$28.26 · scored 11:26 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−51.5 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 78% today
375 contracts · quality 49 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.20% · n=61,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−28.9 pts
100 calls · 26.7% 275 puts
bias −46.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−22.5 pts
12 call OI · 20.3% 47 put OI
bias −59.3 × 0.38
Equals
−51.5
56% of the score comes from today’s volume, 44% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring COLB today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (22th pct) · quality 49 · 375 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.20% avg, n=61,233
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on COLB
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $28.26 highlighted. The $17.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 34). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on COLB Proof We haven’t checked a call on COLB yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
COLB
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−51.5 evidence
has paid −0.20% · n=61,233
Why it’s −51
−28.9 volume · 27% calls−22.5 OI · 20% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (22th pct) · quality 49 · 375 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on COLB
What traded today · 62%
−28.9 pts
100 calls · 275 puts · bias −46.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−22.5 pts
12 call OI · 47 put OI · bias −59.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $17.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about COLB
Not enough tape history on COLB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our COLB record what it is? What’s the $17.5 wall?