CVCO CVCO
$506.30 · scored 08:00 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 40/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 40/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+54.4 composite
Evidence
40 / 100 · top 76% today
30 contracts · quality 52 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+16.5 pts
19 calls · 63.3% 11 puts
bias +26.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+37.8 pts
1,387 call OI · 99.8% 3 put OI
bias +99.6 × 0.38
Equals
+54.4
30% of the score comes from today’s volume, 70% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CVCO today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 40 (24th pct) · quality 52 · 30 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on CVCO
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $506.30 highlighted. The $420 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 693). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CVCO Proof We haven’t checked a call on CVCO yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
CVCO
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+54.4 evidence 40
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +54
+16.5 volume · 63% calls+37.8 OI · 100% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 40 (24th pct) · quality 52 · 30 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on CVCO
What traded today · 62%
+16.5 pts
19 calls · 11 puts · bias +26.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+37.8 pts
1,387 call OI · 3 put OI · bias +99.6
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $420 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CVCO
Not enough tape history on CVCO for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our CVCO record what it is? What’s the $420 wall?