DC DC
$5.51 · scored 09:25 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−91.6 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 71% today
2,697 contracts · quality 45 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.32% · n=13,908
What traded today · weight 62%
−56.8 pts
113 calls · 4.2% 2,584 puts
bias −91.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
No open interest stored for today’s chain.
Equals
−91.6
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Smoothing and calibration add −34.8. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring DC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (29th pct) · quality 45 · 2,697 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.32% avg, n=13,908
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on DC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $5.51 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 0).
We haven’t checked a call on DC yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
DC
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−91.6 evidence
has paid −0.32% · n=13,908
Why it’s −92
−56.8 volume · 4% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (29th pct) · quality 45 · 2,697 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on DC
What traded today · 62%
−56.8 pts
113 calls · 2,584 puts · bias −91.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DC
Not enough tape history on DC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our DC record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?