EBAY EBAY
$114.00 · scored 10:46 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 68/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 68/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+31.8 composite
Evidence
68 / 100 · top 14% today
15,943 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.22% · n=17,968
What traded today · weight 62%
+28.9 pts
11,681 calls · 73.3% 4,262 puts
bias +46.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.9 pts
47,761 call OI · 53.8% 40,959 put OI
bias +7.7 × 0.38
Equals
+31.8
91% of the score comes from today’s volume, 9% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring EBAY today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (86th pct) · quality 81 · 15,943 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.22% avg, n=17,968
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on EBAY
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $114.00 highlighted. The $115 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 14,910). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on EBAY Proof We haven’t checked a call on EBAY yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
EBAY
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+31.8 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.22% · n=17,968
Why it’s +32
+28.9 volume · 73% calls+2.9 OI · 54% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (86th pct) · quality 81 · 15,943 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.22% avg, n=17,968
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on EBAY
What traded today · 62%
+28.9 pts
11,681 calls · 4,262 puts · bias +46.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.9 pts
47,761 call OI · 40,959 put OI · bias +7.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $115 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about EBAY
Not enough tape history on EBAY for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our EBAY record what it is? What’s the $115 wall?