ECPG ECPG
$103.16 · scored 01:48 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 45/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−34.2 composite
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 67% today
688 contracts · quality 65 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−33.3 pts
159 calls · 23.1% 529 puts
bias −53.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−0.8 pts
531 call OI · 48.9% 554 put OI
bias −2.1 × 0.38
Equals
−34.2
98% of the score comes from today’s volume, 2% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ECPG today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 45 (33th pct) · quality 65 · 688 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 75
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.42% avg, n=13,233
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on ECPG
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $103.16 highlighted. The $85 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 502).
05 Our record on ECPG Proof 21 Oct · 4h
$103.16 → $103.16
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
ECPG
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−34.2 evidence
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
Why it’s −34
−33.3 volume · 23% calls−0.8 OI · 49% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 45 (33th pct) · quality 65 · 688 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 75
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on ECPG
What traded today · 62%
−33.3 pts
159 calls · 529 puts · bias −53.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−0.8 pts
531 call OI · 554 put OI · bias −2.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$103.16 → $103.16
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ECPG
Not enough tape history on ECPG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our ECPG record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?