ESTA
ESTA
$57.12 · scored 03:33 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 52/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−12.4 composite
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 45% today
52 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.35% · n=4,096
What traded today · weight 62%
−9.5 pts
22 calls · 42.3%30 puts
bias −15.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−2.8 pts
3,593 call OI · 46.3%4,169 put OI
bias −7.4 × 0.38
Equals
−12.4
77% of the score comes from today’s volume, 23% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ESTA today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 52 (55th pct) · quality 73 · 52 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidmildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −1.35% avg, n=4,096
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on ESTA
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $57.12 highlighted. The $60 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,743).
05Our record on ESTA
Proof We haven’t checked a call on ESTA yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ESTA
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−12.4evidence 52
has paid −1.35% · n=4,096
Why it’s −12
−9.5 volume · 42% calls−2.8 OI · 46% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 52 (55th pct) · quality 73 · 52 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on ESTA
What traded today · 62%
−9.5 pts
22 calls · 30 puts · bias −15.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−2.8 pts
3,593 call OI · 4,169 put OI · bias −7.4
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $60 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ESTA
Not enough tape history on ESTA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.