EXEL
EXEL
$63.08 · +0.00% vs $63.08 close · scored 16:59 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 57/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 57/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+30.0 composite
Evidence
57 / 100 · top 31% today
1,102 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.03% · n=74,841
What traded today · weight 62%
+36.5 pts
875 calls · 79.4%227 puts
bias +58.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−6.5 pts
24,438 call OI · 41.5%34,499 put OI
bias −17.1 × 0.38
Equals
+30.0
85% of the score comes from today’s volume, 15% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring EXEL today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 57 (69th pct) · quality 77 · 1,102 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.03% avg, n=74,841
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on EXEL
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $63.08 highlighted. The $50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 20,288). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on EXEL
Proof
17 Oct · 4h
$63.08 → $63.08
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
EXEL
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+30.0evidence 57
has paid +0.03% · n=74,841
Why it’s +30
+36.5 volume · 79% calls−6.5 OI · 41% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 57 (69th pct) · quality 77 · 1,102 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on EXEL
What traded today · 62%
+36.5 pts
875 calls · 227 puts · bias +58.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−6.5 pts
24,438 call OI · 34,499 put OI · bias −17.1
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
17 Oct · 4h
$63.08 → $63.08
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about EXEL
Not enough tape history on EXEL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.