EXP
EXP
$167.50 · scored 05:32 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 38/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 38/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−31.8 composite
Evidence
38 / 100 · top 85% today
101 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.20% · n=61,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−59.5 pts
2 calls · 2.0%99 puts
bias −96.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+27.7 pts
4,821 call OI · 86.5%752 put OI
bias +73.0 × 0.38
Equals
−31.8
68% of the score comes from today’s volume, 32% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring EXP today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 38 (15th pct) · quality 74 · 101 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.20% avg, n=61,233
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on EXP
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $167.50 highlighted. The $165 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,002). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on EXP yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
EXP
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−31.8evidence 38
has paid −0.20% · n=61,233
Why it’s −32
−59.5 volume · 2% calls+27.7 OI · 87% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 38 (15th pct) · quality 74 · 101 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on EXP
What traded today · 62%
−59.5 pts
2 calls · 99 puts · bias −96.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+27.7 pts
4,821 call OI · 752 put OI · bias +73.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $165 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about EXP
Not enough tape history on EXP for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.