FMC FMC
$8.09 · scored 08:03 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+39.5 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 33% today
1,758 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
has paid +36.79% · n=9,199
What traded today · weight 62%
+4.0 pts
936 calls · 53.2% 822 puts
bias +6.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+35.5 pts
1,211 call OI · 96.7% 41 put OI
bias +93.5 × 0.38
Equals
+39.5
10% of the score comes from today’s volume, 90% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FMC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 76 · 1,758 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +36.79% avg, n=9,199
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FMC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $8.09 highlighted. The $60 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 332). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on FMC yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
FMC
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+39.5 evidence 56
has paid +36.79% · n=9,199
Why it’s +40
+4.0 volume · 53% calls+35.5 OI · 97% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 76 · 1,758 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FMC
What traded today · 62%
+4.0 pts
936 calls · 822 puts · bias +6.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+35.5 pts
1,211 call OI · 41 put OI · bias +93.5
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $60 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FMC
Not enough tape history on FMC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FMC record what it is? What’s the $60 wall?