FMNB FMNB
$15.00 · scored 08:25 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 37/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 37/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+77.7 composite
Evidence
37 / 100 · top 81% today
2 contracts · quality 53 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=80,022
What traded today · weight 62%
+62.0 pts
2 calls · 100.0% 0 puts
bias +100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+15.7 pts
82 call OI · 70.7% 34 put OI
bias +41.4 × 0.38
Equals
+77.7
80% of the score comes from today’s volume, 20% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FMNB today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 37 (19th pct) · quality 53 · 2 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=80,022
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FMNB
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $15.00 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 54). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on FMNB Proof We haven’t checked a call on FMNB yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
FMNB
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+77.7 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=80,022
Why it’s +78
+62.0 volume · 100% calls+15.7 OI · 71% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 37 (19th pct) · quality 53 · 2 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=80,022
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FMNB
What traded today · 62%
+62.0 pts
2 calls · 0 puts · bias +100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+15.7 pts
82 call OI · 34 put OI · bias +41.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FMNB
Not enough tape history on FMNB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FMNB record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?