FNLC FNLC
$33.75 · scored 10:40 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 38/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 38/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−15.7 composite
Evidence
38 / 100 · top 89% today
19 contracts · quality 39 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.26% · n=31,339
What traded today · weight 62%
+3.3 pts
10 calls · 52.6% 9 puts
bias +5.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−19.0 pts
1 call OI · 25.0% 3 put OI
bias −50.0 × 0.38
Equals
−15.7
15% of the score comes from today’s volume, 85% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FNLC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 38 (11th pct) · quality 39 · 19 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +0.26% avg, n=31,339
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FNLC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $33.75 highlighted. The $35 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on FNLC Proof We haven’t checked a call on FNLC yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
FNLC
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−15.7 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.26% · n=31,339
Why it’s −16
+3.3 volume · 53% calls−19.0 OI · 25% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 38 (11th pct) · quality 39 · 19 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +0.26% avg, n=31,339
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FNLC
What traded today · 62%
+3.3 pts
10 calls · 9 puts · bias +5.3
What’s on the books · 38%
−19.0 pts
1 call OI · 3 put OI · bias −50.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FNLC
Not enough tape history on FNLC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FNLC record what it is? What’s the $35 wall?