FOCL FOCL
$4.20 · scored 01:48 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 60/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 60/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+6.0 composite
Evidence
60 / 100 · top 23% today
619 contracts · quality 49 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.28% · n=3,062
What traded today · weight 62%
−23.1 pts
194 calls · 31.3% 425 puts
bias −37.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+29.1 pts
8,731 call OI · 88.3% 1,155 put OI
bias +76.6 × 0.38
Equals
+6.0
44% of the score comes from today’s volume, 56% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FOCL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (77th pct) · quality 49 · 619 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.28% avg, n=3,062
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on FOCL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $4.20 highlighted. The $5 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 8,988).
05 Our record on FOCL Proof
21 Oct · 4h
$4.20 → $4.20
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
FOCL
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+6.0 evidence 60
neutral · +1.28% · n=3,062
Why it’s +6
−23.1 volume · 31% calls+29.1 OI · 88% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (77th pct) · quality 49 · 619 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.28% avg, n=3,062
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on FOCL
What traded today · 62%
−23.1 pts
194 calls · 425 puts · bias −37.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+29.1 pts
8,731 call OI · 1,155 put OI · bias +76.6
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$4.20 → $4.20
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FOCL
Not enough tape history on FOCL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FOCL record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?