FOUR
FOUR
$38.79 · +0.00% vs $38.79 close · scored 20:50 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 62/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 62/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−64.4 composite
Evidence
62 / 100 · top 15% today
1,375 contracts · quality 50 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.02% · n=6,352
What traded today · weight 62%
−56.0 pts
66 calls · 4.8%1,309 puts
bias −90.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−8.3 pts
3,129 call OI · 39.0%4,887 put OI
bias −21.9 × 0.38
Equals
−64.4
87% of the score comes from today’s volume, 13% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FOUR today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 62 (85th pct) · quality 50 · 1,375 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −1.02% avg, n=6,352
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on FOUR
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $38.79 highlighted. The $35 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,358).
05Our record on FOUR
Proof
24 Oct · 4h
$38.79 → $38.79
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
FOUR
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−64.4evidence 62
has paid −1.02% · n=6,352
Why it’s −64
−56.0 volume · 5% calls−8.3 OI · 39% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 62 (85th pct) · quality 50 · 1,375 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on FOUR
What traded today · 62%
−56.0 pts
66 calls · 1,309 puts · bias −90.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−8.3 pts
3,129 call OI · 4,887 put OI · bias −21.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
24 Oct · 4h
$38.79 → $38.79
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about FOUR
Not enough tape history on FOUR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.