FPH FPH
$4.28 · scored 07:57 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 35/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 35/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−74.2 composite
Evidence
35 / 100 · top 86% today
173 contracts · quality 40 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−36.2 pts
36 calls · 20.8% 137 puts
bias −58.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 0.0% 1 put OI
bias −100.0 × 0.38
Equals
−74.2
49% of the score comes from today’s volume, 51% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FPH today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 35 (14th pct) · quality 40 · 173 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FPH
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $4.28 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on FPH yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
FPH
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−74.2 evidence 35
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −74
−36.2 volume · 21% calls−38.0 OI · 0% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 35 (14th pct) · quality 40 · 173 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FPH
What traded today · 62%
−36.2 pts
36 calls · 137 puts · bias −58.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 1 put OI · bias −100.0
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FPH
Not enough tape history on FPH for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FPH record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?