FPI FPI
$10.63 · scored 09:06 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 40/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 40/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+16.2 composite
Evidence
40 / 100 · top 77% today
221 contracts · quality 50 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.09% · n=6,965
What traded today · weight 62%
+34.5 pts
172 calls · 77.8% 49 puts
bias +55.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−18.3 pts
7 call OI · 25.9% 20 put OI
bias −48.1 × 0.38
Equals
+16.2
65% of the score comes from today’s volume, 35% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FPI today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 40 (23th pct) · quality 50 · 221 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.09% avg, n=6,965
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on FPI
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $10.63 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 20). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14 Oct · 4h
$10.63 → $10.63
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
FPI
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+16.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.09% · n=6,965
Why it’s +16
+34.5 volume · 78% calls−18.3 OI · 26% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 40 (23th pct) · quality 50 · 221 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.09% avg, n=6,965
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on FPI
What traded today · 62%
+34.5 pts
172 calls · 49 puts · bias +55.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−18.3 pts
7 call OI · 20 put OI · bias −48.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$10.63 → $10.63
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FPI
Not enough tape history on FPI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FPI record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?