FR FR
$59.26 · scored 10:40 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+81.4 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 83% today
47 contracts · quality 46 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.63% · n=217,051
What traded today · weight 62%
+43.5 pts
40 calls · 85.1% 7 puts
bias +70.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+37.8 pts
413 call OI · 99.8% 1 put OI
bias +99.5 × 0.38
Equals
+81.4
54% of the score comes from today’s volume, 46% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (17th pct) · quality 46 · 47 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.63% avg, n=217,051
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $59.26 highlighted. The $75 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 370). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on FR yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
FR
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+81.4 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.63% · n=217,051
Why it’s +81
+43.5 volume · 85% calls+37.8 OI · 100% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (17th pct) · quality 46 · 47 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.63% avg, n=217,051
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on FR
What traded today · 62%
+43.5 pts
40 calls · 7 puts · bias +70.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+37.8 pts
413 call OI · 1 put OI · bias +99.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $75 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FR
Not enough tape history on FR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FR record what it is? What’s the $75 wall?