FTDR
FTDR
$80.85 · +0.00% vs $80.85 close · scored 03:35 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 46/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 46/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−51.3 composite
Evidence
46 / 100 · top 63% today
165 contracts · quality 55 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.62% · n=9,942
What traded today · weight 62%
−42.5 pts
26 calls · 15.8%139 puts
bias −68.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−8.8 pts
136 call OI · 38.4%218 put OI
bias −23.2 × 0.38
Equals
−51.3
83% of the score comes from today’s volume, 17% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FTDR today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 46 (37th pct) · quality 55 · 165 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.62% avg, n=9,942
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on FTDR
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $80.85 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 102).
05Our record on FTDR
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$80.85 → $80.85
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
FTDR
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−51.3evidence 46
has paid −0.62% · n=9,942
Why it’s −51
−42.5 volume · 16% calls−8.8 OI · 38% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 46 (37th pct) · quality 55 · 165 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on FTDR
What traded today · 62%
−42.5 pts
26 calls · 139 puts · bias −68.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−8.8 pts
136 call OI · 218 put OI · bias −23.2
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$80.85 → $80.85
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about FTDR
Not enough tape history on FTDR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.