HBT HBT
$34.95 · +0.00% vs $34.95 close · scored 06:07 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−89.1 composite
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 46% today
383 contracts · quality 45 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.73% · n=18,463
What traded today · weight 62%
−52.9 pts
28 calls · 7.3% 355 puts
bias −85.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−36.2 pts
10 call OI · 2.4% 410 put OI
bias −95.2 × 0.38
Equals
−89.1
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HBT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (54th pct) · quality 45 · 383 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.73% avg, n=18,463
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HBT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $34.95 highlighted. The $22.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 346). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
12 Oct · 4h
$34.95 → $34.95
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HBT
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−89.1 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.73% · n=18,463
Why it’s −89
−52.9 volume · 7% calls−36.2 OI · 2% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (54th pct) · quality 45 · 383 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.73% avg, n=18,463
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HBT
What traded today · 62%
−52.9 pts
28 calls · 355 puts · bias −85.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−36.2 pts
10 call OI · 410 put OI · bias −95.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
12 Oct · 4h
$34.95 → $34.95
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $22.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HBT
Not enough tape history on HBT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HBT record what it is? What’s the $22.5 wall?