HCA HCA
$458.60 · scored 08:03 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 51/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 51/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+5.0 composite
Evidence
51 / 100 · top 53% today
406 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
neutral · −1.18% · n=1,528
What traded today · weight 62%
+12.2 pts
243 calls · 59.9% 163 puts
bias +19.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−7.3 pts
3,914 call OI · 40.5% 5,760 put OI
bias −19.1 × 0.38
Equals
+5.0
63% of the score comes from today’s volume, 37% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HCA today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 51 (47th pct) · quality 76 · 406 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.18% avg, n=1,528
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HCA
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $458.60 highlighted. The $430 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,927). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
13 Oct · 4h
$458.60 → $458.60
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HCA
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+5.0 evidence
neutral · −1.18% · n=1,528
Why it’s +5
+12.2 volume · 60% calls−7.3 OI · 40% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 51 (47th pct) · quality 76 · 406 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.18% avg, n=1,528
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HCA
What traded today · 62%
+12.2 pts
243 calls · 163 puts · bias +19.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−7.3 pts
3,914 call OI · 5,760 put OI · bias −19.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
13 Oct · 4h
$458.60 → $458.60
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $430 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HCA
Not enough tape history on HCA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HCA record what it is? What’s the $430 wall?