HCC HCC
$84.13 · scored 01:49 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 43/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 43/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+7.6 composite
Evidence
43 / 100 · top 72% today
410 contracts · quality 69 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.86% · n=1,503
What traded today · weight 62%
+32.4 pts
312 calls · 76.1% 98 puts
bias +52.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−24.8 pts
1,761 call OI · 17.4% 8,388 put OI
bias −65.3 × 0.38
Equals
+7.6
57% of the score comes from today’s volume, 43% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HCC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 43 (28th pct) · quality 69 · 410 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.86% avg, n=1,503
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HCC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $84.13 highlighted. The $95 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 7,799).
21 Oct · 4h
$84.13 → $84.13
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HCC
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+7.6 evidence
neutral · −0.86% · n=1,503
Why it’s +8
+32.4 volume · 76% calls−24.8 OI · 17% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 43 (28th pct) · quality 69 · 410 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.86% avg, n=1,503
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HCC
What traded today · 62%
+32.4 pts
312 calls · 98 puts · bias +52.2
What’s on the books · 38%
−24.8 pts
1,761 call OI · 8,388 put OI · bias −65.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$84.13 → $84.13
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $95 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HCC
Not enough tape history on HCC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HCC record what it is? What’s the $95 wall?