HESM HESM
$31.20 · scored 08:28 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 53/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 53/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−21.5 composite
Evidence
53 / 100 · top 47% today
1,468 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +8.30% · n=2,772
What traded today · weight 62%
−0.3 pts
730 calls · 49.7% 738 puts
bias −0.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−21.1 pts
4 call OI · 22.2% 14 put OI
bias −55.6 × 0.38
Equals
−21.5
2% of the score comes from today’s volume, 98% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HESM today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 53 (53th pct) · quality 73 · 1,468 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +8.30% avg, n=2,772
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HESM
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $31.20 highlighted. The $43 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 14). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on HESM Proof We haven’t checked a call on HESM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HESM
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−21.5 evidence
hasn’t paid +8.30% · n=2,772
Why it’s −21
−0.3 volume · 50% calls−21.1 OI · 22% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 53 (53th pct) · quality 73 · 1,468 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +8.30% avg, n=2,772
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HESM
What traded today · 62%
−0.3 pts
730 calls · 738 puts · bias −0.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−21.1 pts
4 call OI · 14 put OI · bias −55.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $43 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HESM
Not enough tape history on HESM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HESM record what it is? What’s the $43 wall?