HVT HVT
$27.54 · scored 07:57 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 41/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 41/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−22.8 composite
Evidence
41 / 100 · top 74% today
143 contracts · quality 46 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.45% · n=89
What traded today · weight 62%
+15.2 pts
89 calls · 62.2% 54 puts
bias +24.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 0.0% 127 put OI
bias −100.0 × 0.38
Equals
−22.8
29% of the score comes from today’s volume, 71% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HVT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 41 (26th pct) · quality 46 · 143 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bearish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.45% avg, n=89
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HVT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $27.54 highlighted. The $12.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 114). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on HVT yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HVT
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−22.8 evidence
has paid −0.45% · n=89
Why it’s −23
+15.2 volume · 62% calls−38.0 OI · 0% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 41 (26th pct) · quality 46 · 143 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HVT
What traded today · 62%
+15.2 pts
89 calls · 54 puts · bias +24.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 127 put OI · bias −100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HVT
Not enough tape history on HVT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HVT record what it is? What’s the $12.5 wall?