HXL HXL
$86.01 · scored 06:04 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 39/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 39/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.6 composite
Evidence
39 / 100 · top 88% today
2 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.17% · n=198,401
What traded today · weight 62%
+0.0 pts
1 calls · 50.0% 1 puts
bias +0.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+36.6 pts
11,121 call OI · 98.2% 207 put OI
bias +96.3 × 0.38
Equals
+36.6
0% of the score comes from today’s volume, 100% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HXL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 39 (12th pct) · quality 43 · 2 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=198,401
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HXL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $86.01 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,245). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
7 Oct · 4h
$86.01 → $86.01
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
HXL
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.6 evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=198,401
Why it’s +37
+0.0 volume · 50% calls+36.6 OI · 98% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 39 (12th pct) · quality 43 · 2 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HXL
What traded today · 62%
+0.0 pts
1 calls · 1 puts · bias +0.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+36.6 pts
11,121 call OI · 207 put OI · bias +96.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$86.01 → $86.01
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HXL
Not enough tape history on HXL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HXL record what it is? What’s the $80 wall?