IBP IBP
$199.12 · +0.00% vs $199.12 close · scored 12:18 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 47/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 47/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−49.0 composite
Evidence
47 / 100 · top 60% today
425 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.02% · n=6,352
What traded today · weight 62%
−38.1 pts
82 calls · 19.3% 343 puts
bias −61.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−11.0 pts
158 call OI · 35.6% 286 put OI
bias −28.8 × 0.38
Equals
−49.0
78% of the score comes from today’s volume, 22% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring IBP today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 47 (40th pct) · quality 74 · 425 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −1.02% avg, n=6,352
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on IBP
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $199.12 highlighted. The $240 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 146).
24 Oct · 4h
$199.12 → $199.12
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
IBP
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−49.0 evidence
has paid −1.02% · n=6,352
Why it’s −49
−38.1 volume · 19% calls−11.0 OI · 36% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 47 (40th pct) · quality 74 · 425 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on IBP
What traded today · 62%
−38.1 pts
82 calls · 343 puts · bias −61.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−11.0 pts
158 call OI · 286 put OI · bias −28.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
24 Oct · 4h
$199.12 → $199.12
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $240 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about IBP
Not enough tape history on IBP for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our IBP record what it is? What’s the $240 wall?