INCY INCY
$111.57 · scored 08:04 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 39/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 39/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−5.2 composite
Evidence
39 / 100 · top 79% today
976 contracts · quality 72 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.28% · n=3,404
What traded today · weight 62%
−22.5 pts
311 calls · 31.9% 665 puts
bias −36.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+17.3 pts
8 call OI · 72.7% 3 put OI
bias +45.5 × 0.38
Equals
−5.2
57% of the score comes from today’s volume, 43% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring INCY today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 39 (21th pct) · quality 72 · 976 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.28% avg, n=3,404
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on INCY
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $111.57 highlighted. The $70 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on INCY Proof We haven’t checked a call on INCY yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
INCY
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−5.2 evidence
neutral · +1.28% · n=3,404
Why it’s −5
−22.5 volume · 32% calls+17.3 OI · 73% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 39 (21th pct) · quality 72 · 976 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.28% avg, n=3,404
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on INCY
What traded today · 62%
−22.5 pts
311 calls · 665 puts · bias −36.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+17.3 pts
8 call OI · 3 put OI · bias +45.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $70 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about INCY
Not enough tape history on INCY for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our INCY record what it is? What’s the $70 wall?