KMT KMT
$31.21 · scored 02:21 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 44/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 44/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.3 composite
Evidence
44 / 100 · top 69% today
148 contracts · quality 54 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
What traded today · weight 62%
+31.0 pts
111 calls · 75.0% 37 puts
bias +50.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.3 pts
694 call OI · 68.8% 314 put OI
bias +37.7 × 0.38
Equals
+45.3
68% of the score comes from today’s volume, 32% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring KMT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 44 (31th pct) · quality 54 · 148 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on KMT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $31.21 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 438).
21 Oct · 4h
$31.21 → $31.21
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
KMT
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.3 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
Why it’s +45
+31.0 volume · 75% calls+14.3 OI · 69% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 44 (31th pct) · quality 54 · 148 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on KMT
What traded today · 62%
+31.0 pts
111 calls · 37 puts · bias +50.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.3 pts
694 call OI · 314 put OI · bias +37.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$31.21 → $31.21
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about KMT
Not enough tape history on KMT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our KMT record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?