KPTI
KPTI
$0.32 · scored 13:40 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 52/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−6.3 composite
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 43% today
1,141 contracts · quality 64 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.28% · n=3,404
What traded today · weight 62%
−22.1 pts
367 calls · 32.2%774 puts
bias −35.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+15.8 pts
26,159 call OI · 70.8%10,788 put OI
bias +41.6 × 0.38
Equals
−6.3
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring KPTI today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 52 (57th pct) · quality 64 · 1,141 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.28% avg, n=3,404
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on KPTI
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $0.32 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 16,724). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on KPTI
Proof We haven’t checked a call on KPTI yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
KPTI
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−6.3evidence 52
neutral · +1.28% · n=3,404
Why it’s −6
−22.1 volume · 32% calls+15.8 OI · 71% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 52 (57th pct) · quality 64 · 1,141 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.28% avg, n=3,404
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on KPTI
What traded today · 62%
−22.1 pts
367 calls · 774 puts · bias −35.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+15.8 pts
26,159 call OI · 10,788 put OI · bias +41.6
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about KPTI
Not enough tape history on KPTI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.