LAD LAD
$292.51 · scored 05:39 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−42.4 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 56% today
2,209 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.20% · n=60,767
What traded today · weight 62%
−35.0 pts
481 calls · 21.8% 1,728 puts
bias −56.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−7.4 pts
302 call OI · 40.2% 449 put OI
bias −19.6 × 0.38
Equals
−42.4
82% of the score comes from today’s volume, 18% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring LAD today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (44th pct) · quality 76 · 2,209 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 26
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.20% avg, n=60,767
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on LAD
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $292.51 highlighted. The $190 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 247). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
7 Oct · 4h
$292.51 → $292.51
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
LAD
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−42.4 evidence
has paid −0.20% · n=60,767
Why it’s −42
−35.0 volume · 22% calls−7.4 OI · 40% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (44th pct) · quality 76 · 2,209 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 26
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on LAD
What traded today · 62%
−35.0 pts
481 calls · 1,728 puts · bias −56.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−7.4 pts
302 call OI · 449 put OI · bias −19.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$292.51 → $292.51
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $190 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about LAD
Not enough tape history on LAD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our LAD record what it is? What’s the $190 wall?