LYB LYB
$63.00 · scored 12:54 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 59/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 59/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+44.6 composite
Evidence
59 / 100 · top 26% today
2,902 contracts · quality 54 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=75,575
What traded today · weight 62%
+47.6 pts
2,564 calls · 88.4% 338 puts
bias +76.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−2.9 pts
11,471 call OI · 46.2% 13,382 put OI
bias −7.7 × 0.38
Equals
+44.6
94% of the score comes from today’s volume, 6% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring LYB today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (74th pct) · quality 54 · 2,902 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=75,575
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on LYB
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $63.00 highlighted. The $62.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 9,294). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on LYB yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
LYB
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+44.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=75,575
Why it’s +45
+47.6 volume · 88% calls−2.9 OI · 46% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 59 (74th pct) · quality 54 · 2,902 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=75,575
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on LYB
What traded today · 62%
+47.6 pts
2,564 calls · 338 puts · bias +76.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−2.9 pts
11,471 call OI · 13,382 put OI · bias −7.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $62.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about LYB
Not enough tape history on LYB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our LYB record what it is? What’s the $62.5 wall?